NIFTY 50 Intraday Technical Analysis – August 22, 2025

NIFTY 50 Intraday Technical Analysis – August 22, 2025

The NIFTY 50 index is coming off a strong six-day rally followed by a modest pullback. As of today, August 22, 2025, the intraday charts show that bulls are still holding an advantage—but the index is consolidating near a tough resistance zone.

On the 15-minute chart, Nifty continues to form higher highs and higher lows, staying comfortably above its key moving averages. Thursday’s close was 25,083.75 (+0.13%), which keeps the daily trend pointed upward. That said, short-term price action is stuck in a narrow range (25,050–25,160). This “flat top” consolidation is a sign that the market is at a decision point: either break higher for another leg up, or fail and pull back.

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Key Resistance and Support Levels

• Immediate resistance: 25,160–25,170. If this zone is taken out, the next upside target lies at 25,250–25,270.

• Support zone: 25,000 remains the big psychological level to watch. If it cracks, then deeper support is seen around 24,850.

• As long as Nifty holds above 25,000–25,050, the bullish structure remains intact.

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Intraday Entry & Stop-Loss Strategy

Since the index is range-bound but leaning bullish, traders can prepare for both breakout and breakdown opportunities.

Bullish Setup

• Entry: Above 25,160–25,170 on a confirmed 15-min candle close.

• Stop-loss: Below 25,130–25,140 (just under the breakout zone).

• Targets:

  • Target 1: 25,240–25,260

  • Target 2: 25,300–25,350

👉 Example: Entry at 25,170 → Target1: 25,250 (+80 pts), Target2: 25,330 (+160 pts). With a 40-pt stop, the risk–reward is 1:2 to 1:4.

Bearish Setup

• Entry: Below 25,000 on a decisive close.

• Stop-loss: Above 25,020–25,050.

• Targets:

  • Target 1: 24,850

  • Target 2: 24,700

👉 Example: Short at 24,990 with a 30-pt stop can aim for 24,850 (+140 pts, ~1:4.7 R:R).

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Chart Patterns & Price Action

The 15-min chart is currently showing a bullish continuation pattern: price is holding within a rising channel, supported by rising EMAs. The flat top around 25,150–25,160 looks like consolidation before a possible breakout.

• No clear reversal pattern is visible yet.

• Higher lows continue to hold.

• Indicators like RSI are still positive.

The only caution: if Nifty slips under 25,000, the rising EMA support breaks—and that could flip the intraday trend bearish.

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Probability & Risk Assessment

• Bullish probability: 60–70% chance of breakout continuation. Options data also shows heavy put writing at 25,000, giving bulls a cushion.

• Bearish probability: 30–40% chance if 25,000 fails. In that case, selling pressure may accelerate quickly.

Risk management tips:

• Always trade with stop-losses.

• Avoid averaging down losing positions.

• Keep position sizes small (risk only 1–2% of your capital per trade).

• Be alert for fake breakouts near key zones.

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Conclusion

The NIFTY 50 on August 22, 2025, is setting up for an intraday breakout or breakdown. Bulls have the upper hand as long as the index stays above 25,000, but resistance at 25,160–25,170 remains the key hurdle.

• Upside Plan: Long entry above 25,170 with targets at 25,250 and 25,330.

• Downside Plan: Short entry below 25,000 with targets at 24,850 and 24,700.

The short-term structure still favors the bulls, but disciplined risk control is the difference between profit and loss. Keep stops tight, respect key levels, and trade the breakout—not your emotions.

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